Will Bitcoin hit $86,000 by Oct 15, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick2.5%$0.03
- No97.5%$0.98
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Forecast reasoning
Bitcoin closed at $81,814 on October 15, 2026, falling short of the $86,000 target despite reaching intraday highs of $87,146 earlier in October. The market had multiple opportunities to hit $86,000 during the month but failed to close above that level on the deadline date.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase reaches or exceeds $86,000 at any point strictly after 2026-10-14T20:42:41.237Z and at or before 2026-10-15T22:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase does not reach $86,000 at any point during the measurement window. Clarifications: - The measurement window opens strictly after 2026-10-14T20:42:41.237Z and closes at or before 2026-10-15T22:00:00.000Z; a price of exactly $86,000 satisfies the "Yes" condition.
Oct 15, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC