Will Europe win the 2027 Ryder Cup?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick29.8%$0.30
- No70.2%$0.70
This resolves too far out for us to open a market on it. The odds stand. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
Europe hosts at Adare Manor in 336 days with strong historical home advantage—the host has won roughly 70% of the time since 1983, and Europe has won five consecutive away matches against the USA. However, recent prediction market odds have declined sharply from 55% in August 2026 to 47% by late September 2026, suggesting trader skepticism about Europe's chances despite the venue advantage.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the European team is officially declared the winner of the 2027 Ryder Cup, held at Adare Manor, Ireland (17–19 September 2027), with the final result confirmed strictly after 2026-10-08T08:55:58.469Z and at or before the market's settlement time. - "No": Wins if the United States team is officially declared the winner of the 2027 Ryder Cup, held at Adare Manor, Ireland (17–19 September 2027), with the final result confirmed strictly after 2026-10-08T08:55:58.469Z and at or before the market's settlement time. Clarifications: - The official winner is the team that accumulates more than 14 points across the three match days (foursomes, fourballs, and singles); in the event of a 14–14 tie, the defending champion retains the Cup (Europe, as 2025 winners), which counts as a win for "Yes".
Sep 18, 2027, 11:00 PM UTC