Block 974,881 needs 55 blocks from the current height of 974,826 as of Nov 6 at 16:45 UTC, requiring roughly 9 hours at the 10-minute average rate, placing it around 02:00 UTC on Nov 7—just before the 02:15 UTC threshold. Bitcoin's consensus rules constrain timestamp manipulation to within two hours of actual mining time, making the timestamp highly likely to fall within the target window.