Will Tavus's Griffin model ship (have a general release) before 2028?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes59.0%$0.59
- Noyour pick41.0%$0.41
This resolves too far out for us to open a market on it. The odds stand. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
Griffin launched as a research preview on October 1, 2026, but remains unavailable to general customers pending safety work with no announced release date. Tavus stated it anticipates releasing Griffin "very soon" after addressing safety concerns, giving the market a 440-day window to reach general availability before the January 2028 deadline.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Tavus publicly announces and makes available a general release (not a research preview or limited/trusted-tester access) of the Griffin model strictly after 2026-10-01T21:50:32.070Z and at or before 2028-01-01T08:00:00.000Z, confirmed by an official announcement on Tavus's own channels or widely corroborated reporting. - "No": Wins if no such general release of the Griffin model is confirmed to have occurred strictly after 2026-10-01T21:50:32.070Z and at or before 2028-01-01T08:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - "General release" means Griffin (or a successor version under the Griffin name) is made broadly available to customers or developers on the Tavus platform, as distinct from a research preview, limited beta, or select trusted-tester program. - The Griffin-Lite research preview announced on 2026-10-01 does not qualify as a general release for the purposes of this market.
Jan 1, 2028, 8:00 AM UTC