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Will the Nov 13, 2026 FAA nationwide ground stop be officially confirmed as a cyberattack by Dec 31, 2026?

TechForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yesyour pick1.3%$0.01
  • No98.8%$0.99
Forecast only. Not tradable.

The forecaster strongly favors one outcome, so we can’t open a market for this question. You can still create this market yourself.

Forecast reasoning

Officials and law enforcement have found no evidence of a cyberattack as of today, with DHS Secretary Mullin stating there is "no indication" of a nefarious attack and the FBI not believing criminality was involved. The 1% reflects the low probability that investigations over the next 48 days will reverse these preliminary findings and officially confirm a cyberattack by year-end.