Will the majority of Galaxy Digital's 26 crypto predictions for 2026 come true by end of 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes8.0%$0.08
- No92.0%$0.92
We could not pin down how this would settle, so there is no market to trade. The odds stand.
Forecast reasoning
Galaxy Digital published 26 crypto predictions for 2026 on December 18, 2025, but no public tracking of their accuracy exists as of October 13, 2026—only 79 days remain to verify outcomes. The "majority" threshold requires 14+ predictions correct, a high bar given crypto's volatility and Galaxy Research's own acknowledgment that 2026 is "too chaotic to predict."
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if, strictly after 2026-09-30T17:54:55.428Z and at or before 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z, credible assessments of Galaxy Digital's report "26 Crypto, Bitcoin, DeFi, and AI Predictions for 2026" (published December 18, 2025) confirm that 14 or more of the 26 discrete predictions have been verified as fulfilled by end of 2026. - "No": Wins if, strictly after 2026-09-30T17:54:55.428Z and at or before 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z, credible assessments confirm that 13 or fewer of the 26 discrete predictions have been verified as fulfilled by end of 2026. Clarifications: - The shared quantity is the count of Galaxy Digital's 26 predictions (from the December 18, 2025 Galaxy Research report "26 Crypto, Bitcoin, DeFi, and AI Predictions for 2026") that are verifiably fulfilled by December 31, 2026 UTC. "Majority" means strictly more than half — i.e., 14 or more of the 26 predictions. - Each prediction is evaluated on whether its stated condition (price threshold, volume milestone, regulatory action, product launch, etc.) was met at any point during 2026, or by year-end 2026, consistent with the terms of the original report. Predictions that are ambiguous, unverifiable, or whose outcome cannot be determined are not counted as fulfilled. - The evaluation window covers events occurring strictly after 2026-09-30T17:54:55.428Z and at or before 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z, but each individual prediction should be assessed against its own stated deadline within 2026 as defined in the original report.
Jan 1, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC