Will a Strait of Hormuz deal be reached by Nov 17, 2026?
PoliticsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick39.3%$0.39
- No60.8%$0.61
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
A tentative 60-day memorandum of understanding was reached November 7 requiring Iran to clear mines within 30 days and the US to lift its counter-blockade, but the deal remains fragile with language points unresolved and requiring Trump's official sign-off, leaving only 11 days until market close.