Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals in Barcelona vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026 (90 min + stoppage only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes10.8%$0.11
- No89.3%$0.89
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Forecast reasoning
Yamal has scored 8 goals in 9 league appearances this season and is in excellent form with 7 goals in his last 5 matches, but the 2+ goal threshold is steep for a single match and his historical Clásico record shows only 3 goals across 9 previous meetings with Real Madrid.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Lamine Yamal scores 2 or more goals for FC Barcelona in the LaLiga match between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid at Spotify Camp Nou, with goals counted only from regular time and stoppage time (i.e., excluding any extra time or penalty shootout), where the match kicks off strictly after 2026-10-24T21:21:24.971Z and concludes at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Lamine Yamal scores 0 or 1 goal for FC Barcelona under the same conditions. Clarifications: - Only goals credited to Lamine Yamal in the official match record count; own goals by opposing players do not count toward his tally. - If the match is postponed, abandoned, or not completed within the window, neither outcome wins on that basis — resolution follows standard platform evidence rules.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC