Will Bitcoin price be above $84,000 USD by the end of Oct 1, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes83.0%$0.83
- No17.0%$0.17
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Forecast reasoning
The estimate rests on 10 recent sources, weighed against the base rate for events of this kind inside the market's window.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase is strictly above $84,000 USD at any point strictly after 2026-10-01T11:52:20.318Z and at or before 2026-10-01T15:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase does not exceed $84,000 USD at any point during the measurement window (strictly after 2026-10-01T11:52:20.318Z and at or before 2026-10-01T15:00:00.000Z). Clarifications: - The BTC-USD price is taken from the Coinbase spot market (BTC-USD pair). A single confirmed trade or last-traded price reading above $84,000 at any moment within the window is sufficient for "Yes" to win.
Oct 1, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC