Will the United States carry out a military strike on Cuban territory by Mar 31, 2027?
PoliticsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick7.8%$0.08
- No92.3%$0.92
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
Trump stated on November 12-13 that he wants to "get Cuba done" before leaving office in 2029, and the Pentagon is analyzing military options including airstrikes with the 101st Airborne Division, though no decision has been made. The Trump administration has pursued sanctions and described military force as a last resort, and Republican leaders stated in March there was no appetite for ground troops. The 139-day window to March 31, 2027 is substantially shorter than Trump's 2029 term end date,
