Beljo averages 3.73 shots per game this season and 4.48 per 90 minutes, placing him in the 94th percentile among forwards, but recent data shows he cleared 3.5 shots only 50% of the time in starts and recorded just 2 shots in his last match on Nov 5. The ≥4 threshold is harder to clear than his season average, explaining the 48% probability despite strong underlying metrics.