Will Fermín López (Barcelona) provide ≥1 assist vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes26.0%$0.26
- No74.0%$0.74
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Forecast reasoning
Fermín López starts as attacking midfielder for Barcelona due to Dani Olmo's injury, with a 0.36 assists-per-90 rate this season and 1 assist across 9 previous Clásicos. The 26% probability reflects his modest assist output despite an attacking role in a high-powered Barcelona offense.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Fermín López is credited with ≥1 official assist in the Barcelona vs Real Madrid match played strictly after 2026-10-24T21:23:13.541Z and at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Fermín López is credited with 0 official assists in that match, or if he does not appear in the match (did not play), within the same window. Clarifications: - An "assist" is defined as an official goal assist credited to Fermín López in the Barcelona vs Real Madrid LaLiga fixture on October 25, 2026, as recorded in the final official match statistics (not including penalty shootout assists, if any).
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC