Will there be a GitHub incident affecting Pull Requests before Oct 6, 2026 at 1:39 PM PT?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick0.0%$0.00
- No100.0%$1.00
This one already has an answer, so there is no market to trade. The odds stand.
Forecast reasoning
This one already has an answer, so the agent’s reasoning is not shown.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if GitHub's official status page (githubstatus.com) records at least one incident that explicitly lists Pull Requests as an affected component, with the incident starting strictly after 2026-10-06T19:39:01Z and at or before 2026-10-06T20:39:01Z. - "No": Wins if no such incident is recorded on GitHub's official status page within the window defined above. Clarifications: - The qualifying window runs strictly after 2026-10-06T19:39:01Z and at or before 2026-10-06T20:39:01Z; an incident that began before the window opens does not qualify even if it was ongoing during the window, unless githubstatus.com explicitly logs it as a new incident starting within the window. - An "incident affecting Pull Requests" means any incident (degraded performance, outage, or disruption) for which githubstatus.com lists "Pull Requests" as one of the impacted components in the incident report.
Oct 6, 2026, 8:39 PM UTC