“Will "Yi-Chia Chen @ Fields Model" rank 1st on the final private leaderboard of the ARC-AGI-3 Kaggle competition (ARC Prize 2026)?” on Delphi

Will "Yi-Chia Chen @ Fields Model" rank 1st on the final private leaderboard of the ARC-AGI-3 Kaggle competition (ARC Prize 2026)?

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Delphi’s forecast

Yesyour pick34.5%$0.35
No65.5%$0.66

Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

Yi-Chia Chen @ Fields Model leads the public leaderboard with 75.56 points, but the private leaderboard—which determines final rankings—won't be revealed until December 4, 2026. A Kaggle Master card awarded for "1st in ARC-AGI-3" suggests a private leaderboard win, though public standings are explicitly provisional and may differ from final results based on the other 50% of test data.