Will Taylor Swift win a Grammy at the 2027 Grammy Awards (69th annual ceremony)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick23.4%$0.23
- No76.6%$0.77
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Forecast reasoning
Taylor Swift is projected to receive approximately 10 nominations across major categories at the 2027 Grammys, with 97% odds on nominations for both Record of the Year and Song of the Year, but she has never won Record of the Year despite seven prior nominations in that category. The 23% probability reflects her strong nomination chances against historical difficulty converting nominations into wins across competitive general field categories.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Taylor Swift is officially announced as a winner of at least one Grammy Award at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards ceremony, with the award(s) presented strictly after 2026-10-08T09:54:46.481Z and at or before 2027-02-07T08:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Taylor Swift does not win any Grammy Award at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards ceremony within the same window. Clarifications: - The qualifying window is strictly after 2026-10-08T09:54:46.481Z and at or before 2027-02-07T08:00:00.000Z. A win counts whether it is presented during the televised main ceremony or the Premiere (pre-telecast) ceremony, provided it is awarded at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards.
Feb 7, 2027, 8:00 AM UTC