Will Binance waive listing fees for a new listing before Dec 31, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes12.5%$0.13
- No87.5%$0.88
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Forecast reasoning
Binance listed RWUSD with zero listing fees on October 13, 2026, and has stated since March 2025 that it does not charge listing fees, satisfying the resolution criteria. The 13% probability reflects uncertainty about whether this already-occurred event will be officially confirmed or disputed before December 31, 2026.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Binance publishes an official announcement on its official announcements channel (binance.com/en/support/announcement) strictly after 2026-10-15T17:01:27.667Z and at or before 2026-12-31T05:00:00.000Z confirming that listing fees are waived (i.e., set to zero or explicitly described as free) for a specific new token or project listing on Binance. - "No": Wins if no such official announcement is published by Binance within the window described above. Clarifications: - "Listing fee waiver" means an official Binance communication explicitly stating that no listing fee is charged or that the listing fee is zero for a named new project or token; general restatements of Binance's longstanding policy that fees are donated to charity do not qualify. A waiver announced as part of a new listing (e.g., a formal "zero listing fee" programme for a specific cohort of projects) does qualify.
Dec 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC