Will Pete Hegseth be removed from his position in 2026?
PoliticsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick12.5%$0.13
- No87.5%$0.88
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
GOP Rep. Thomas Massie introduced impeachment articles against Hegseth on November 9, requiring a House vote by Wednesday, though only two Cabinet secretaries have ever been impeached in U.S. history and neither was removed. Trump stated he intends to keep Hegseth through his term, and conviction would require a two-thirds Senate majority even if the House votes to impeach. The low probability reflects the historical rarity of Cabinet removal combined with Trump's explicit support, despite activ
