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Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies approve the Presupuesto 2027 budget bill (media sanción) in a plenary vote by Dec 6, 2026 23:59 ART?

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Delphi’s forecast

  • Yesyour pick58.5%$0.59
  • No41.5%$0.42
Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

Government and PRO reached agreement on November 12 with committee opinion scheduled for November 17 and plenary vote targeted for November 25, well before the December 6 deadline. General approval already passed on November 10 with 80 votes, clearing the first hurdle. Negotiations remain fluid with some allied blocs expressing distrust, and the government lacks its own quorum majority, creating execution risk in the final two weeks.