Will Zhipu AI release a new GLM model by Nov 30, 2026?
TechForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes45.8%$0.46
- No54.3%$0.54
Forecast only. Not tradable.
We could not pin down how this would settle, so there is no market to trade. The odds stand.
Forecast reasoning
Zhipu AI released GLM-Legal on October 12, 2026, and GLM-5.3-FlashX-Legal on November 2, 2026, both within the 16-day window before the November 30 deadline. However, the 46% probability reflects uncertainty about whether these specialized variants qualify as "new GLM models" under the resolution criteria, versus the company's consistent pattern of releasing multiple models per year.