“Will the US Commerce Department publish a rule restricting Chinese companies' remote access to advanced AI chips in data centres outside China by Dec 15, 2026?” on Delphi

Will the US Commerce Department publish a rule restricting Chinese companies' remote access to advanced AI chips in data centres outside China by Dec 15, 2026?

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Delphi’s forecast

Yesyour pick34.0%$0.34
No66.0%$0.66

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Forecast reasoning

Commerce Department officials reported finalizing a rule on this topic as of mid-November 2026, with potential announcement that month, but no official publication has occurred as of today despite the 32-day window remaining.