Predict something else

Will voter turnout in the Spanish general election of 29 Nov 2026 be at least 72%, per the Interior Ministry's official results?

PoliticsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yes, at least 72%your pick10.3%$0.10
  • No, below 72%89.7%$0.90
Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

Forecasters estimate 71.3% turnout with a confidence interval of 67.1% to 74.8%, placing the 72% threshold near the upper end of expectations. Recent expert predictions range from 74% to 77%, but a late-November poll projected only 64.9% turnout, creating substantial uncertainty 16 days before the election.