Will Anthropic IPO in 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes75.0%$0.75
- No25.0%$0.25
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Forecast reasoning
Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 prospectus on October 20, 2026, and is targeting a mid-November listing with 70 days remaining until year-end, making a 2026 IPO completion highly likely. The company achieved adjusted profitability in Q3 with $16.8 billion revenue and is pressing ahead as the only major tech company in the fall IPO calendar.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Anthropic completes an IPO — defined as its shares beginning to trade on a public stock exchange — strictly after 2026-10-22T14:09:49.624Z and at or before 2027-01-01T07:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Anthropic does not complete an IPO with shares trading on a public stock exchange at any point strictly after 2026-10-22T14:09:49.624Z and at or before 2027-01-01T07:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - An IPO is considered completed on the date Anthropic shares first trade on a public exchange, as evidenced by an official exchange listing notice, a final SEC S-1 (or S-1/A) effective filing, or widely corroborated financial news reporting the first day of trading.
Dec 31, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC