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Will Democrats win both the House and Senate in the Nov 3, 2026 US midterm elections, with results finalized by end of November?

PoliticsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yes, Democrats win both77.3%$0.77
  • No22.8%$0.23
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Forecast reasoning

Democrats won Senate seats in Georgia, North Carolina, and New Hampshire on November 3, flipping at least three Republican seats and putting Senate control within reach with 20 days until results finalize. Decision Desk HQ projected Democrats won House control as of November 4, while early returns suggested Democrats were on track for at least 230 House seats, exceeding the 218 needed for majority.