Will Mbappé score ≥1 goal vs FC Barcelona on Oct 25, 2026 (regular + stoppage time only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes50.2%$0.50
- No49.8%$0.50
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Forecast reasoning
Mbappé averages 1.5 goals per game against Barcelona historically and has scored in 9 consecutive La Liga matches this season, but faces a Barcelona defense weakened by injuries to Olmo and Garcia. His recent knee injury recovery and confirmed starting lineup status support the even odds despite the lower threshold of ≥1 goal versus multiple goals.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Kylian Mbappé scores at least one goal for Real Madrid against FC Barcelona, credited during regular time or stoppage time only (i.e., excluding any extra time or penalty shootout), in the LaLiga Matchday 10 fixture played at Spotify Camp Nou, with the match having kicked off strictly after 2026-10-24T11:57:00Z and the result confirmed at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if Mbappé scores zero goals credited during regular time or stoppage time in that same fixture, provided the match result is confirmed at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z. Clarifications: - Goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout do not count toward this market; only goals credited to Mbappé in the 1st through 90th minute plus any added stoppage time are considered. - If Mbappé does not appear in the match (e.g., absent from the squad or does not take the field), he is treated as having scored zero goals, and "No" wins. - If the match is postponed or abandoned before a result is officially confirmed at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z, the market outcome is unresolvable.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC