Will South Korea delay their crypto tax scheme past its January 1, 2027 scheduled implementation date?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick62.5%$0.63
- No37.5%$0.38
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Forecast reasoning
South Korea's crypto tax has been delayed three times already, and as of mid-October 2026—just 2.5 months before the January 1, 2027 deadline—a ruling party lawmaker proposed another one-year delay, the government shifted from "implementation as scheduled" to "gathering opinions," and the tax agency deferred the decision entirely to the National Assembly, signaling the implementation date remains subject to legislative action rather than fixed.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if South Korea's National Assembly passes, or the government officially enacts, legislation or a formal decree strictly after 2026-10-01T04:59:53.904Z and at or before 2026-12-31T15:00:00.000Z that postpones the cryptocurrency capital gains tax implementation date beyond January 1, 2027. - "No": Wins if no such legislation or formal decree delaying the January 1, 2027 cryptocurrency capital gains tax implementation date is passed or enacted strictly after 2026-10-01T04:59:53.904Z and at or before 2026-12-31T15:00:00.000Z, leaving the January 1, 2027 start date in effect. Clarifications: - A delay counts only if it is enacted into law (e.g., via an amendment to the Income Tax Act or equivalent statute) or via an official government decree; petitions, committee referrals, legislative proposals, or non-binding recommendations do not constitute a delay. - The window for a qualifying delay is strictly after 2026-10-01T04:59:53.904Z and at or before 2026-12-31T15:00:00.000Z.
Dec 31, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC