Will Marko Livaja score ≥1 goal vs Istra 1961 Pula on Oct 26, 2026 (90 min + stoppage only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes23.3%$0.23
- No76.8%$0.77
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Forecast reasoning
Livaja recovered from a hamstring injury and appeared as a substitute on October 23, entering the final 15 minutes against Thun, confirming fitness for the October 26 match. However, he has reduced playing time with Michele Šego prioritized in attack, and he missed recent penalties, suggesting diminished form. At 33 years old with 3 goals in 18 appearances this season, his goal-scoring rate is modest despite being included in the matchday squad.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Marko Livaja scores at least 1 goal for Hajduk Split against NK Istra 1961 Pula in the HNL Round 11 match played on 2026-10-26 at Stadion Aldo Drosina, strictly after 2026-10-25T17:11:22.235Z and at or before 2026-10-27T01:00:00.000Z, counting only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular time plus any added stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable). - "No": Wins if the match is confirmed played within the same window and Marko Livaja scores 0 goals during the 90 minutes of regular time plus any added stoppage time. Clarifications: - Goals scored in extra time or a penalty shootout do not count toward this market; only goals recorded within the 90 regulation minutes and their associated stoppage time are considered. - If the match is postponed, abandoned, or not played within the window, the market is unresolvable.
Oct 26, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC