Predict something else

Will the S&P 500 close above 7,000 on Dec 31, 2026?

FinanceForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yesyour pick89.8%$0.90
  • No10.3%$0.10
Forecast only. Not tradable.

We could not pin down how this would settle, so there is no market to trade. The odds stand.

Forecast reasoning

The S&P 500 closed at 7,520.93 on November 10, 2026, well above the 7,000 threshold with 51 days remaining. The index would need to fall 7.3% to breach the threshold, and analyst forecasts cluster between 7,300 and 7,900 for year-end, with an 80% probability range of 6,727 to 8,194.