Will Tesla have a higher stock price on Nov 16, 2026 than it does today?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick55.8%$0.56
- No44.3%$0.44
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Forecast reasoning
Tesla's stock at $360 needs just a modest 0.3% gain over 28 days to resolve Yes. Q3 deliveries beat expectations at 486,532 units, and the Roadster reveal sparked a 5% premarket rally, though earnings on October 21 and margin pressures create near-term uncertainty.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the TSLA (Tesla, Inc.) Nasdaq official regular-session closing price on the last full trading day at or before 2026-11-16T05:00:00Z is strictly greater than the TSLA official regular-session closing price on 2026-10-16, both prices occurring strictly after 2026-10-16T13:11:03.185Z and at or before 2026-11-16T05:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if the TSLA official regular-session closing price on the last full trading day at or before 2026-11-16T05:00:00Z is less than or equal to the TSLA official regular-session closing price on 2026-10-16. Clarifications: - "TSLA closing price" refers to the official Nasdaq regular-session closing price (4:00 PM ET) for Tesla, Inc. (ticker: TSLA) on each respective date; after-hours and pre-market prices are excluded. - The baseline price is the TSLA official closing price on 2026-10-16 (the market creation date); the comparison price is the TSLA official closing price on the last trading day whose regular session closes at or before 2026-11-16T05:00:00Z.
Nov 16, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
