Will Elden Ring 2 be announced in 2027?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick5.5%$0.06
- No94.5%$0.95
This resolves too far out for us to open a market on it. The odds stand. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
FromSoftware president Miyazaki confirmed in May 2026 that Elden Ring 2 is not in development and not being considered, with the studio focused on other new IPs instead. A June 2026 leak claimed FromSoftware is working on multiple new projects but not Elden Ring 2, though unverified. The low probability reflects no official plans despite 440 days remaining until market close.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if FromSoftware or Bandai Namco officially announces a game explicitly titled or confirmed to be "Elden Ring 2" (or an official sequel to Elden Ring bearing a different subtitle but confirmed by the developer as a direct sequel) on an official channel strictly after 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z and at or before 2028-01-01T05:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if no such official announcement occurs strictly after 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z and at or before 2028-01-01T05:00:00Z. Clarifications: - An "official announcement" means a public reveal made directly by FromSoftware or Bandai Namco via their official websites, official press releases, official social media accounts, or a licensed gaming showcase (e.g., The Game Awards, Xbox Games Showcase) at which the developer or publisher is a confirmed participant. Fan leaks, rumours, or unverified reports do not qualify. - The announcement must unambiguously identify the title as a sequel to Elden Ring (2022); DLC, expansions, remasters, or ports of the original Elden Ring do not qualify.
Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM UTC