Will a live-action Miles Morales appear in a film or TV show in 2027?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes7.0%$0.07
- No93.0%$0.93
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Forecast reasoning
Marvel Studios confirmed plans for live-action Miles Morales after Sony's Spider-Verse trilogy ends June 18, 2027, but no project, release date, or casting has been announced as of September 2026. The low probability reflects that a 2027 appearance would require rapid greenlight and production after the animated film's release, with Feige's comments suggesting a post-2027 timeline instead.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if a live-action portrayal of the character Miles Morales — performed by a human actor on screen, not animated or voice-only — appears in a theatrically released film or an episode of a TV/streaming show whose premiere date is strictly after 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z and at or before 2028-01-01T13:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if no such live-action appearance by Miles Morales premieres strictly after 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z and at or before 2028-01-01T13:00:00Z. Clarifications: - A "live-action" appearance requires a human actor visibly portraying Miles Morales on screen; animated films (including motion-capture where the final output is rendered animation), voice-only roles, or brief post-credits animated sequences do not qualify. - The premiere date used is the earliest official public release date (theatrical, broadcast, or streaming) in any territory.
Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM UTC