Will the Golden State Warriors win 40 games in the 2026-27 NBA regular season?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes50.7%$0.51
- No49.3%$0.49
This resolves too far out for us to open a market on it. The odds stand. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
Warriors re-signed core players including Stephen Curry, Kristaps Porziņģis, Draymond Green, and Al Horford for 2026-27, but finished 37-45 last season after injuries derailed the campaign. The 40.5-win threshold set by betting markets reflects uncertainty around whether the roster can stay healthy and improve enough to clear 40 wins over the 176-day season.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the Golden State Warriors' official final win total for the 2026-27 NBA regular season — with all games played strictly after 2026-09-30T16:22:53.540Z and at or before 2027-04-12T07:00:00.000Z counted — is 40 or more wins. - "No": Wins if the Golden State Warriors' official final win total for the 2026-27 NBA regular season — with all games played strictly after 2026-09-30T16:22:53.540Z and at or before 2027-04-12T07:00:00.000Z counted — is 39 or fewer wins. Clarifications: - The win total is the Warriors' official regular-season record as published in the final 2026-27 NBA standings. Playoff games are excluded. If the season is shortened or games are cancelled, the win total used is whatever official final regular-season win count the NBA certifies.
Apr 12, 2027, 7:00 AM UTC