Will Marko Livaja score a goal or assist for Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 Pula on Oct 26, 2026 (regular + stoppage time)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes29.3%$0.29
- No70.8%$0.71
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Forecast reasoning
Livaja has been benched recently, including sitting out the October 12 derby entirely, while Michele Šego has taken the starting forward role. Despite his strong historical record against Istra (13 goals in 17 matches), limited playing time and lack of recent goal contributions make a goal or assist unlikely in the next 24 hours.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Marko Livaja records at least one goal or at least one assist during the HNL Round 11 match between NK Istra 1961 and HNK Hajduk Split, with the contribution occurring strictly after 2026-10-25T19:21:07.466Z and within regular time or stoppage time of the match (i.e., excluding extra time or penalty shootout), with the match having kicked off at or around 2026-10-26T17:00:00.000Z and the result confirmed at or before 2026-10-27T01:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Marko Livaja records no goal and no assist during regular time and stoppage time of the same match, or does not participate in the match at all (not in the starting lineup and not introduced as a substitute), within the same window. Clarifications: - An "assist" is the final pass or touch directly leading to a goal, as recorded in the official match statistics for this HNL fixture. - If the match is postponed, abandoned, or not played within the window, neither "Yes" nor "No" is resolved on participation criteria; the outcome is determined by confirmed official match records available at or before 2026-10-27T01:00:00.000Z.
Oct 26, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC