Will the Avengers kill Doctor Doom in Avengers: Doomsday?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick4.5%$0.05
- No95.5%$0.96
This quote has expired. Ask again for a live price.
Forecast reasoning
Leaked plot reports from industry insiders claim Doctor Doom will survive and rule Battleworld in the film's ending, while the MCU's pattern of killing major villains in their debut films provides counterweight. The 5% reflects that Doom is positioned as the arch-villain for the upcoming Secret Wars storyline, making his death in this film unlikely despite Marvel's history of villain fatality.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if, as depicted in the theatrical release of *Avengers: Doomsday*, the Avengers (or allied heroes acting alongside them) directly cause Doctor Doom's death within the events of the film, as confirmed by credible post-release plot reporting or reviews published strictly after 2026-10-08T09:45:45.124Z and at or before 2026-12-17T18:30:00.000Z — or, if the film releases after market close, by credible post-release reporting available at settlement time. - "No": Wins if credible post-release plot reporting or reviews confirm that Doctor Doom is not killed by the Avengers (or allied heroes) within the events of the film — including outcomes where Doctor Doom survives, escapes, is defeated non-lethally, or is killed by another means or party. Clarifications: - The film's theatrical release date is December 18, 2026, which falls after the market's close time. Resolution relies on confirmed plot details from credible entertainment journalism, official plot summaries, or critical reviews published after the film's theatrical debut. - "Doctor Doom" refers to the character Victor von Doom as portrayed in *Avengers: Doomsday* (played by Robert Downey Jr.), not any variant or alternate version of the character unless explicitly presented as the same antagonist within the film's main narrative. - Post-credits or ambiguous sequences count only if mainstream critical consensus treats the depicted event as a definitive in-narrative death caused by the Avengers or their allies.
Dec 17, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC