Will Democrats gain control of both chambers of Congress in the 2026 midterms?
PoliticsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick2.1%$0.02
- No97.9%$0.98
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
Multiple forecast models give Democrats 80-93% odds to win the House but only 55-60% to win the Senate; the joint probability of both outcomes occurring simultaneously is roughly 56% according to Poliwave, far exceeding this 2% market price. Polls show Democrats leading by 8-13 points on the generic ballot with 6 days until Election Day on November 3.