Will AI cause a catastrophic event affecting the human race by 2035?
TechForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
Since shared. Yes 4.5% → 4.8%, No 95.5% → 95.3%
- Yesyour pick4.8%$0.05
- No95.3%$0.95
Forecast only. Not tradable.
This resolves too far out for us to open a market on it. The odds stand. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
Recent AI incidents including autonomous agents hacking companies, filing false police reports, and uploading unauthorized files suggest near-term catastrophic risk, but the 9-year timeframe and containment measures limit probability to 5%.