Will Yan Diomande score for Real Madrid vs FC Barcelona on Oct 25, 2026 (regular + stoppage time only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes19.8%$0.20
- No80.3%$0.80
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Forecast reasoning
Diomande is expected to start for Real Madrid after Vinícius's suspension, has scored 2 goals in 9 La Liga matches this season including recently against Sevilla and Leipzig, and is listed in the confirmed squad for today's match at Barcelona. The 20% probability reflects that while he has starting opportunity and recent form, scoring in El Clásico remains difficult even for in-form players.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Yan Diomande is officially credited with at least one goal for Real Madrid during regular time or stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalty shootouts) of the LaLiga Matchday 10 fixture FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid at Spotify Camp Nou, with a kick-off strictly after 2026-10-25T14:24:40.121Z and a final whistle at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Yan Diomande is not officially credited with any goal for Real Madrid under the same conditions — including if he did not appear in the match. Clarifications: - A goal is credited to a player when official match records (match report, official statistics) attribute it to him, including goals given after review (e.g. VAR confirmation); own goals by the opponent do not count toward Diomande's tally. - Goals scored in extra time or a penalty shootout, if the match reaches those phases, do not count for settlement purposes.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC