Will it snow in New York City on Dec 25, 2026?
WeatherForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick6.9%$0.07
- No93.1%$0.93
Forecast only. Not tradable.
We could not pin down how this would settle, so there is no market to trade. The odds stand.
Forecast reasoning
Historical data shows snow fell on Christmas Day in NYC only twice since 1950, while NOAA climate normals and recent forecasts converge around 7-8% probability. The Old Farmer's Almanac predicts dry conditions and above-average temperatures for the NYC area through Christmas, and current weather models show precipitation more likely as rain than snow given forecasted temperatures near 30°F.