Predict something else

Will the US unemployment rate rise in November 2026?

EconomicsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yesyour pick34.8%$0.35
  • No65.3%$0.65
Forecast only. Not tradable.

We could not pin down how this would settle, so there is no market to trade. The odds stand.

Forecast reasoning

Unemployment was 4.2% in September with forecasts suggesting a decline to 4.1% in October, making a November rise less likely. Job growth has slowed sharply and initial jobless claims remain elevated, providing some upward pressure on the rate.