Predict something else

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US presidential election?

PoliticsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yesyour pick8.3%$0.08
  • No91.8%$0.92
Forecast only. Not tradable.

This resolves too far out for us to open a market on it. The odds stand. You can still create this market yourself.

Forecast reasoning

VP Vance leads Republican primary polling at 37-40% as of early November 2026, but trails most Democratic opponents in general election matchups by 3-5 points, with prediction markets pricing him around 18-20% before this market opened at 8%.