Predict something else

Will Alibaba officially release a stable, production-ready Qwen4 model by Dec 31, 2026?

TechForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yes40.8%$0.41
  • No59.3%$0.59
Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

Alibaba released Qwen4-Max-Preview on November 11 with a two-week preview window ending November 25, but has not announced a release date for stable, production-ready models or other variants (Plus, Flash, 27B). With 49 days remaining and no official timeline provided, the market prices in modest odds that a full release occurs by year-end.