Will the US unemployment rate rise in November 2026?
EconomicsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick32.0%$0.32
- No68.0%$0.68
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1% in October 2026, unchanged from September, with job openings exceeding unemployed workers and initial claims near seven-month lows, making a November rise unlikely but possible given normal monthly volatility.
