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Will the US unemployment rate rise in November 2026?

EconomicsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yesyour pick32.0%$0.32
  • No68.0%$0.68
Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1% in October 2026, unchanged from September, with job openings exceeding unemployed workers and initial claims near seven-month lows, making a November rise unlikely but possible given normal monthly volatility.