“Will voter turnout in the Spanish general election of Nov 29, 2026 be at least 75%, per the Interior Ministry's official results?” on Delphi

Will voter turnout in the Spanish general election of Nov 29, 2026 be at least 75%, per the Interior Ministry's official results?

PoliticsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

Yesyour pick6.5%$0.07
No93.5%$0.94

Forecast only. Not tradable.

This quote has expired. Ask again for a live price.

Forecast reasoning

Recent Spanish elections have consistently fallen short of 75% turnout, with only 4 of 21 elections since 1979 exceeding this threshold and recent results at 66-72%. Current forecasts estimate 71.3% turnout with a confidence interval of 67.1-74.8%, and some experts project 74-77%, but the upper bound still suggests a low probability of reaching 75% by November 29.