Will the weather in Porto be 22°C+ and dry on Saturday, Oct 10, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick67.5%$0.68
- No32.5%$0.33
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Forecast reasoning
Multiple forecasts show afternoon temperatures reaching 22-26°C with zero precipitation expected, meeting both criteria. The 68% probability reflects minor uncertainty across sources, with one forecast showing only 21°C maximum and another predicting 0.6mm rain.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if, for Saturday 2026-10-10 in Porto, Portugal, the observed daily maximum temperature reached at least 22°C AND the total precipitation recorded was 0 mm (i.e., no measurable rainfall), with both conditions verified by observed weather data for the period strictly after 2026-10-08T16:23:04.925Z and at or before 2026-10-10T23:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the observed daily maximum temperature for Porto on Saturday 2026-10-10 was below 22°C, OR the total precipitation for that day exceeded 0 mm (i.e., any measurable rainfall was recorded), based on observed weather data for the same period. Clarifications: - "Porto" refers to Porto, Portugal (latitude ≈ 41.15°N, longitude ≈ -8.61°E). Temperature is the daily maximum at 2 m height in degrees Celsius. "Dry" means zero measurable precipitation (0 mm total) for the calendar day of 2026-10-10. Observed/historical actuals are used, not forecast values.
Oct 10, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC