Will Mbappé provide at least one assist in FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes, at least one assist14.8%$0.15
- No assist85.3%$0.85
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Forecast reasoning
Mbappé has recorded just 2 assists in 9 La Liga matches this season and reached 1+ assists in only 15% of his last 20 games, though pre-match projections give him a 10% assist probability for this specific match. Barcelona's weakened defense from multiple injuries creates some upside, but his historical record against Barcelona shows 0 assists across 7 prior meetings despite 10 goals.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes, at least one assist": Wins if Kylian Mbappé is officially credited with at least one assist in the FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid LaLiga Matchday 10 match played on October 25, 2026, with the assist(s) recorded strictly after 2026-10-24T21:23:39.493Z and confirmed in official match statistics at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z. - "No assist": Wins if Mbappé is officially credited with zero assists in the same match — including if Mbappé did not appear in the match — as confirmed in official match statistics at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z. Clarifications: - An assist is defined as a direct goal assist credited to Mbappé in the official LaLiga match statistics for this fixture. Secondary or pre-assists do not count. - If the match is postponed, abandoned, or not completed before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z, neither criterion is satisfied within the settlement window.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC