Will the Pokémon 30th Celebration ETB fall below $130 by the end of October 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes82.8%$0.83
- No17.3%$0.17
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Forecast reasoning
Recent sales data shows the ETB trading near the $130 threshold, with October 19 sales at $128.40 and October 17 sales ranging $118–$150, supporting a downward trend from June's $292.66 peak. The 83% probability reflects strong momentum toward sub-$130 prices within the 13 days remaining before market close, though current TCGPlayer listings still hover around $131–$139.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the TCGPlayer Market Price for the Pokémon 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box (TCGPlayer product ID 704143, Unopened, English) falls strictly below $130.00 at any point strictly after 2026-10-09T20:12:39Z and at or before 2026-11-01T07:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if the TCGPlayer Market Price for the Pokémon 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box (TCGPlayer product ID 704143, Unopened, English) does not fall strictly below $130.00 at any point strictly after 2026-10-09T20:12:39Z and at or before 2026-11-01T07:00:00Z. Clarifications: - The reference price is the TCGPlayer Market Price (not the listed median or "as low as" price) for the standard (non-Pokémon Center) 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box, Unopened condition, English language.
Nov 1, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC