Will a UK General Election be announced before Jan 1, 2027?
PoliticsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick1.2%$0.01
- No98.8%$0.99
Forecast only. Not tradable.
The forecaster strongly favors one outcome, so we can’t open a market for this question. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
PM Andy Burnham has repeatedly ruled out an early election, most recently stating on 28 October he would not call one "in the next 12 months"—covering the entire 53-day window to market close. The November 5 deadline for a December 2026 election passed without Parliament dissolution, eliminating the only remaining near-term pathway.