Will LA's daily high temperature top Miami's on Oct 24, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick6.8%$0.07
- No93.3%$0.93
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Forecast reasoning
LA's high is forecast at 73–78°F while Miami's is consistently predicted at 82–84°F, making it unlikely LA tops Miami by the Oct 25 close. The 7% reflects the small chance forecasts shift or Miami underperforms before trading closes.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the official daily high temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA (KLAX or downtown LA reference station) on October 24, 2026 (local time, strictly after 2026-10-24T03:19:25Z and at or before 2026-10-25T15:00:00Z) is strictly greater than the official daily high temperature recorded at Miami, FL (KMIA or downtown Miami reference station) on October 24, 2026 (local time, within the same window). - "No": Wins if the official daily high temperature recorded at Los Angeles, CA on October 24, 2026 (local time, within the same window) is less than or equal to the official daily high temperature recorded at Miami, FL on October 24, 2026 (local time, within the same window). Clarifications: - "Daily high temperature" means the single highest recorded temperature (°F) for the full calendar day of October 24, 2026 in each city's local time zone, as published in official weather history records for that date. LA local time is Pacific Daylight Time (UTC−7); Miami local time is Eastern Daylight Time (UTC−4). Both full local calendar days must be completed and their final high temperatures confirmed before resolution.
Oct 25, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC