Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 US Grand Prix on Oct 25?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes30.5%$0.31
- No69.5%$0.70
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Forecast reasoning
Max Verstappen won the 2026 US Grand Prix on October 25, finishing ahead of pole-sitter Kimi Antonelli, though conflicting sources report either first or second place; the 31% probability reflects uncertainty between these contradictory race results.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the official race result of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, held strictly after 2026-10-25T12:08:30.153Z and at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z, lists Max Verstappen in first place (P1). - "No": Wins if the official race result of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, held strictly after 2026-10-25T12:08:30.153Z and at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z, does not list Max Verstappen in first place (P1), or if the race is cancelled or does not conclude within that window. Clarifications: - The official race result is the final classified result after any post-race stewards' decisions or penalties that alter finishing positions; provisional results are used only if no final result is published within the settlement window.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC