Will Messi score his 1000th career goal before Cristiano Ronaldo scores his?
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Delphi’s forecast
- Yes, Messi firstyour pick1.9%$0.02
- No, Ronaldo first98.1%$0.98
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The forecaster strongly favors one outcome, so we can’t open a market for this question. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
Ronaldo needs only 15 goals to reach 1,000 while Messi needs 63, and Messi scores slightly faster per game but faces a 421-day deadline. Ronaldo's substantial lead and proximity to the milestone make his reaching 1,000 first heavily favored despite Messi's marginally better scoring efficiency.