Will Tokyo's daily high temperature top NYC's daily high temperature on Oct 9, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick89.0%$0.89
- No11.0%$0.11
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Forecast reasoning
Multiple forecasts show Tokyo's high ranging from 73-79°F while NYC's high is predicted between 68-73°F on October 9, with Tokyo consistently favored across sources. The 89% probability reflects Tokyo's forecasted highs clustering 5-6 degrees above NYC's expected range.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Tokyo's official daily high temperature on Oct 9, 2026 (JST) strictly exceeds New York City's official daily high temperature on Oct 9, 2026 (ET), where Tokyo's high is recorded strictly after 2026-10-08T22:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-09T15:00:00Z (end of Oct 9 JST), and NYC's high is recorded strictly after 2026-10-08T22:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-10T04:00:00Z (end of Oct 9 ET). - "No": Wins if Tokyo's official daily high temperature on Oct 9, 2026 (JST) is equal to or lower than New York City's official daily high temperature on Oct 9, 2026 (ET), where Tokyo's high is recorded strictly after 2026-10-08T22:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-09T15:00:00Z (end of Oct 9 JST), and NYC's high is recorded strictly after 2026-10-08T22:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-10T04:00:00Z (end of Oct 9 ET). Clarifications: - The daily high temperature for each city is the maximum observed temperature reported for the full local calendar day of October 9, 2026, as recorded by a recognized meteorological source (e.g., Weather Underground, Weather.com, timeanddate.com, or Visual Crossing). For Tokyo, the reference station is Tokyo (RJTT / Haneda Airport or equivalent central Tokyo station); for New York City, the reference station is Central Park (KNYC) or equivalent. Temperatures are compared in the same unit (°F or °C) using the same source where possible.
Oct 9, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC